The Great Disruption
Government, media, business and academic worlds are full of opinions on the crises we face in the coming decades. These are familiar under headings such as climate change, peak energy, food insecurity, water shortages, economic instability, state securitisation, militarisation and so on – a disturbingly long catalogue to which we can add numerous, systemic, unforeseen complications.
The Great Transition
At the same time that many are talking of crises and despondency, others are suggesting that opportunities are growing daily to make a transition to a future of enriched lives and human solidarity, where social and environmental sustainability is possible. Technological advances and changing behaviours will usher in this new world.
Our position is that the world is too complex to forecast but that trends and patterns can be identified and action taken in response. Society needs to cope with this uncertainty, to become less vulnerable on the way to long-term sustainability. We are likely to see disruptions but we will also see transitions. We just need to be prepared for anything – prepared for change.